Score: 316-401
Pool: CCILMNNOORU
Opponent’s options: CLAVE 2k (10), row 14 parallels, blocking plays
Candidate plays: Row 5 plays (JEER/JUBE/JEU), JUS 13m, JUBA f4, JEFE l6, fishing plays
Potential plays on next turn: Row 1, Row 5 bingos
Subgoal: Maximize your odds of drawing a bingo that can overtake your opponent
Resolution: This position is even worse than a simple “draw a bingo” position, because you need to score a bingo AND score enough to win: since you’re behind so much, a bingo alone might not score enough. While row 1 is promising since your opponent cannot use it to score, they can block by simply dropping a C forming CLAVE.
CLAVE is powerful for your opponent. As a result, row 5 players are not viable, as aren’t two tile plays such as JEFE and JUS since they will no longer score enough to win after CLAVE. Thus, out of those candidate choices, JUBA is best, but it’s still hard to see how to win after that.
Your best hope is to fish for the word CONJURE while using 3 tiles. (Playing BE is not good enough because it only uses two tiles.) The play most likely to hit CONJURE that uses three tiles is TUBE m8 (12), hoping to draw 3 tiles out of this pool. Your opponent cannot outscore nor block both spots of CONJURE.